Why Patrick Surtain II is the New Favorite for DPOY
For most NFL fans, the Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY) award is synonymous with standout performances from pass rushers. However, Patrick Surtain II, the Denver Broncos’ elite cornerback, is rewriting that narrative. Surtain has emerged as the overwhelming favorite for the prestigious award, with BetMGM listing him at -210 odds, a significant lead over T.J. Watt (+175) of the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Case for Surtain
Surtain’s dominance is undeniable, even without traditional stats like sacks to bolster his case. His performance metrics paint a vivid picture:
- Coverage Dominance: According to Next Gen Stats, Surtain has allowed only 33 catches for 279 yards all season. Opposing quarterbacks targeting him post a passer rating of just 56, worse than the NFL’s lowest-rated starting quarterback.
- Impact Metrics: Surtain leads all cornerbacks with a -25.6 coverage EPA, showcasing his ability to neutralize opponents’ passing games effectively.
- Pro Football Focus: He’s the highest-graded cornerback of the 2024 season, further solidifying his claim as the league’s premier defensive back.
Signature Moments Matter
Award voters often look for game-defining moments, and Surtain delivered in Week 5 against the Las Vegas Raiders. His 100-yard pick-six turned the tide of a crucial game, showcasing his playmaking ability on a grand stage.
Rare Company
If Surtain wins, he’ll join an exclusive club of cornerbacks to claim the DPOY title, including legends like Mel Blount, Rod Woodson, and Deion Sanders. The most recent corner to win was Stephon Gilmore in 2019, making Surtain’s potential victory even more significant in an era dominated by edge rushers.
Analysis: Why Surtain’s Win Could Shift the DPOY Narrative
Surtain’s rise signals a growing appreciation for advanced analytics in evaluating cornerbacks. Metrics like coverage EPA and PFF grades highlight the game-changing impact of elite coverage players. His success could pave the way for future defensive backs to gain recognition, even in a pass-rusher-heavy landscape.